Mary Landrieu cut off?

Mary Landrieu pushing a "greenway" project in New Orleans
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Senator Mary Landrieu, Democrat of Louisiana, still has an active campaign. She faces a runoff on December 6. This usually happens in Louisiana’s “Jungle Primary” that runs on the general election day, not in summer. So why did the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee cancel their ad buys in three key markets? Have they already decided to cut her off?

Mary Landrieu campaign and results

Mary Landrieu pushing a "greenway" project in New Orleans

Senator Mary Landrieu interviewed by WWL TV 4 news reporter at Lafitte Corridor walk, New Orleans. 16 April 2011. PHoto: Bart Everson on Flickr, CC BY 2.0 Generic License

Mary Landrieu insisted she did not follow or agree with de facto President Barack Obama. But she still did not win a clear majority in the election, two days ago. Two Republicans, Rep. Bill Cassidy (R-La.-6th) and Tea Party favorite Rob Maness, ran against her. RealClearPolitics has the results. Between them Cassidy and Maness got fifty-five percent of the total vote. Mary Landrieu got forty-three percent.

The Tea Party knows they can knock Mary Landrieu out of the Senate. They have sent out at least five rounds of e-mails begging like-minded people to send money to a campaign to support Bill Cassidy. Furthermore, according to The New Orleans Times-Picayune, Gov. Bobby Jindal endorsed Cassidy. In so endorsing, Jindal spent more time attacking Mary Landrieu than extolling Bill Cassidy. Local professors don’t expect Bill Cassidy to change his basic message from primary to runoff.

Nevertheless, Mary Landrieu and Bill Cassidy agreed to have one TV debate, in the Baton Rouge market, monday evening at 7:00 p.m. Central time.

But today the Democratic Senate Campaign Committee dropped the bomb.

DSCC pulls support

According to Politico, the DSCC canceled reservations to buy TV ads in the Lafayette, Baton Rouge, and New Orleans TV markets. Politico‘s correspondents asked spokesman Justin Barasky about the cancellations. He said:

Mary Landrieu is a proven run-off winner and we support her 100 percent. We are going to make ongoing determinations on how best to invest in the race. We made the initial reservation when there were concerns that the rates would skyrocket but they have stabilized, giving us more flexibility to make week-to-week decisions.

“Sophistry!” laughed Nicholas E. Purpura, New Jersey Tea Party activist and long-time CNAV contributor. “She’s gone! She’s toast!” Furthermore he said the DSCC would not care to “throw good money after bad.”

Markos Moulitsas (that is, Kos as in Daily) probably figured on this the night of the election:

Katie Pavlich at Town Hall agreed:

It makes no sense for Democrats to further invest resources in a race that Landrieu will not only likely lose in December, but a race that no longer means anything when it comes to Democrat control and power in the Senate.

The Republicans already will have 52 seats in the Senate, no matter what happens in Louisiana. (Or in Virginia, where Ed Gillespie will likely ask for a recount. Or in Alaska, where Dan Sullivan leads Mark Begich by more than 8000 votes at last report.)

One reason why Mary Landrieu didn’t clinch the primary and will likely lose the runoff: she lost the white vote. Her share of it went down from 32 percent in 2008 to 21.5 percent this year. Calling her own electorate racist and sexist didn’t help.

The local media seem to have written her off, too. The Donaldsonville Chief carried this piece about her taking in a photo-op at the historic Grapevine Cafe with the Mayor of Donaldsonville and a few other politicians. This editor’s note told the tale:

Politicians in attendance were not there to endorse Mary Landrieu as a Senate Candidate.

Why mention that? Most stories like this, don’t mention things like that.

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Terry A. Hurlbut has been a student of politics, philosophy, and science for more than 35 years. He is a graduate of Yale College and has served as a physician-level laboratory administrator in a 250-bed community hospital. He also is a serious student of the Bible, is conversant in its two primary original languages, and has followed the creation-science movement closely since 1993.

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